{"id":38207,"date":"2024-02-14T12:27:11","date_gmt":"2024-02-14T12:27:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/?post_type=observatorio&#038;p=38207"},"modified":"2024-06-20T12:36:20","modified_gmt":"2024-06-20T12:36:20","slug":"admiral-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum","status":"publish","type":"observatorio","link":"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/en\/observatorio\/almirante-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum\/","title":{"rendered":"Admiral Garat-- \"The Ukrainian counter-offensive is not going to be miraculous or decisive, but it has driven the Russian Army into its trenches\"."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Mr Juan Rodr\u00edguez Garat<\/strong>Admiral (R) of the Fleet, it is clear to him that the&nbsp;<strong>world order has changed<\/strong>&nbsp;after the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine: \"The&nbsp;<strong>three major safeguards<\/strong>&nbsp;that the world had to keep the peace have fallen away: the<strong>&nbsp;UN<\/strong>exploiting multilateralism;<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>the&nbsp;<strong>nuclear weapons<\/strong>The powers could not go to war, and the&nbsp;<strong>trade relations.<\/strong>&nbsp;Because a mutual dependence as great as that which existed, for example, between Russia and Germany, where Russia bought technology in exchange for cheap energy supplies to Germany, would prevent a conflict. We were all wrong to think so. What are we left with?&nbsp;<strong>As the Roman maxim goes,&nbsp;<\/strong><em><strong>si vis pacem, para bellum<\/strong><\/em><strong>if you want peace, prepare for war<\/strong>\".<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\"Defence budgets are increasing, by almost 25 per cent, but not only NATO, but also China, Russia and the rest of the world. That means, from a strategic point of view,&nbsp;<strong>back to Cold War values<\/strong>and from the point of view of the Defence industry, a&nbsp;<strong>opportunity<\/strong>. Spanish industry can and must take advantage of this situation\", says the Admiral seven days before taking part in the&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/en\/proa-observatory-2\/new-observatory-on-war-and-peace-in-the-global-marketplace\/\">Defence Observatory<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;organised by&nbsp;<strong>PROA Communication<\/strong>in collaboration with the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aae.org.es\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;<strong>Spanish Atlantic Association<\/strong>,&nbsp;<\/a>and in which he will share the stage with the President of this Association,<a href=\"http:\/\/linkedin.com\/in\/adolfo-men%C3%A9ndez-men%C3%A9ndez\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;<strong>D. Adolfo Men\u00e9ndez<\/strong><\/a>with the Director General of the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tedae.org\/es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Spanish Association of Defence Technology Companies<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;(TEDAE),&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/cesarramosvillena\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>D. C\u00e9sar Ramos,<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;and with the Managing Partner of PROA Comunicaci\u00f3n&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/en\/consultores-comunicacion-corporativa\/lucia-casanueva\/\">Ms. Luc\u00eda Casanueva<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\"Spain has to resolve an unresolved issue that has been pending since at least the 19th century: the&nbsp;<strong>Defence culture<\/strong>. Spaniards have begun to understand the&nbsp;<strong>armed peace<\/strong>not the goody-goody peace in which there are no bad guys or wars, only those in the third world. We must instil in the Spanish people that the Armed Forces are there for catastrophes, to participate in peace operations, but also to defend our freedoms, our independence and our sovereignty. When Spaniards recognise this, we will be able to get our governments to use the armed forces in accordance with the particular ideas of the Spanish people, instead of following the guidelines of other countries whose public opinion is much better educated in defence. This overspending is an opportunity for business, but it is also an opportunity for the Spanish people.&nbsp;<strong>a responsibility for Spaniards<\/strong>\"says Admiral Garat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the progress of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, the Admiral gives a preview of what he will explain at the Observatory: \"This counteroffensive is another phase of the war, but it is not going to be miraculous or decisive. What is positive about it is that it has taken the initiative away from the Russian forces and&nbsp;<strong>has forced the Kremlin's Army into the trenches<\/strong>Who would have thought it seventeen months ago! But it is very difficult for Ukraine to achieve strategically decisive results. This war is beginning to remind us more of the trench warfare of World War I than of the manoeuvre warfare of World War II, and is hardly reminiscent of the Persian Gulf wars at the dawn of the 21st century.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D. Juan Rodr\u00edguez Garat, Almirante (R) de la Flota, tiene claro que el&nbsp;orden mundial ha cambiado&nbsp;tras el comienzo de la invasi\u00f3n rusa a Ucrania: \u201cLas&nbsp;tres grandes salvaguardias&nbsp;que el mundo ten\u00eda para mantener la paz se nos han ca\u00eddo:&nbsp;la&nbsp;ONU, explotando la multilateralidad;&nbsp;las&nbsp;armas nucleares, que hac\u00edan pensar que las potencias no pod\u00edan entrar en guerra, y las&nbsp;relaciones [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":37443,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"servicios":[],"sectores":[2319,2313],"class_list":["post-38207","observatorio","type-observatorio","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","sectores-anterior","sectores-defensa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Almirante Garat\u2014\u2014\u00a0\u201cLa contraofensiva ucraniana no va a ser milagrosa ni decisiva, pero ha metido al Ej\u00e9rcito ruso en sus trincheras\u201d - PROA Comunicaci\u00f3n<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/en\/observatory\/admiral-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Almirante Garat\u2014\u2014\u00a0\u201cLa contraofensiva ucraniana no va a ser milagrosa ni decisiva, pero ha metido al Ej\u00e9rcito ruso en sus trincheras\u201d - PROA Comunicaci\u00f3n\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"D. Juan Rodr\u00edguez Garat, Almirante (R) de la Flota, tiene claro que el&nbsp;orden mundial ha cambiado&nbsp;tras el comienzo de la invasi\u00f3n rusa a Ucrania: \u201cLas&nbsp;tres grandes salvaguardias&nbsp;que el mundo ten\u00eda para mantener la paz se nos han ca\u00eddo:&nbsp;la&nbsp;ONU, explotando la multilateralidad;&nbsp;las&nbsp;armas nucleares, que hac\u00edan pensar que las potencias no pod\u00edan entrar en guerra, y las&nbsp;relaciones [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/en\/observatory\/admiral-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PROA Comunicaci\u00f3n\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-06-20T12:36:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Rodriguez-Garat-Rota-Almirante-Flota_1666643897_154064518_667x375.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"667\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"375\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@proacomunica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/observatorio\/almirante-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/proacomunicacion.es\/observatorio\/almirante-garat-si-vis-pacem-para-bellum\/\",\"name\":\"Almirante Garat\u2014\u2014\u00a0\u201cLa contraofensiva ucraniana no va a ser milagrosa ni decisiva, pero ha metido al Ej\u00e9rcito ruso en sus trincheras\u201d - 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